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CF
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
DU
Chicago Fire
1 - 0
DC United
Herbers (78')
Navarro (30'), Herbers (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pines (33'), Najar (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 DC United

Football can be cruel at times, as Chicago discovered in their previous encounter, losing a game in which they deserved at least a point, but the beauty of this sport is that things often have a way of evening out. DC have looked shaky on the back end away from home, and even with their potent attack, we expect the Fire to be stingier defensively while exposing the openings that the Black and Red tend to allow in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.

Result
Chicago FireDrawDC United
53.27% (-0.176 -0.18) 24.26% (0.02 0.02) 22.47% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (0.074999999999996 0.07)50.03% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (0.067 0.07)72% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)18.72% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)50.09% (0.067 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (0.188 0.19)36.88% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (0.186 0.19)73.67% (-0.18499999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 53.26%
    DC United 22.47%
    Draw 24.25%
Chicago FireDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 15 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, May 7 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Toronto
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-2 NY City
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 DC United
Sunday, May 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-0 Houston
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 DC United
Sunday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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