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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.46%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
57.46% ( 0.06) | 21.03% ( -0.01) | 21.51% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.03) | 36.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.03) | 58.97% ( 0.04) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( 0.01) | 12.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.13% ( 0.02) | 38.87% ( -0.01) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.06) | 30.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -0.07) | 66.53% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 57.46% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 21.51% |
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