SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | -1 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
56.32% ( 1.15) | 21.97% ( -0.2) | 21.71% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( -0.25) | 40.99% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.25) | 63.38% ( 0.25) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( 0.29) | 14.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.67% ( 0.55) | 42.33% ( -0.55) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.99) | 32.54% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -1.13) | 69.07% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.32% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.71% |
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