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SJ
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
RS
Earthquakes
2 - 2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Although San Jose Earthquakes are 11 points adrift of their opponents, we think that they will draw confidence from a run of home form which has seen them lose one of their last nine MLS home games, and we believe that the hosts will do enough to clinch a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
55.53% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 22.42% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 22.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4% (0.192 0.19)42.6% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35% (0.19 0.19)65% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.13499999999999 0.13)15.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.254 0.25)43.87% (-0.254 -0.25)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)33.13% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.012 -0.01)69.73% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 55.53%
    Real Salt Lake 22.05%
    Draw 22.41%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.53%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Houston
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 4 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, July 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Kansas
Monday, July 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, July 10 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-2 Salt Lake
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer

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