SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 1 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 4 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
55.53% ( 0.21) | 22.42% ( -0.07) | 22.05% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( 0.19) | 42.6% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( 0.19) | 65% ( -0.19) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( 0.13) | 15.22% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( 0.25) | 43.87% ( -0.25) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.01) | 33.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.01) | 69.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.53% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.05% |
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