Major League Soccer

Aug 6, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
2 - 1
Houston

Becher (89'), Cavallini (90+2')
Cavallini (78'), Gauld (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Picault (6')
Herrera (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Expect to see a bigger defensive commitment from both sides in this one, but as much as the Dynamo will be keen to improve, the Caps newcomers have made them a sharper and more creative team, while they have a lot more difference makers who have managed to give this team some positive results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
50.68% ( 1.38)	24.89% ( -0.27)	24.43% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

0.2)

50.71% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

0.18)

72.61% (

-0.18)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

0.65)

20.01% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78% (

1.04)

52.21% (

-1.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.84)

35.47% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.88)

72.23% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 50.68%

Houston Dynamo 24.43%

Draw 24.88%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.43%