SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
49.74% ( 1.08) | 24.08% ( -0.38) | 26.18% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( 1.11) | 45.86% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( 1.04) | 68.17% ( -1.05) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.86) | 18.5% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( 1.44) | 49.71% ( -1.45) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( 0.03) | 31.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( 0.04) | 67.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.18% |
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