SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
53.47% ( -0.01) | 23.88% | 22.65% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( 0.01) | 48.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( 0.01) | 70.43% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( -0) | 17.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( -0) | 48.85% ( -0) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.01) | 35.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( 0.01) | 72.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.61% 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.65% |
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