SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
57.55% ( 0.01) | 23.42% ( 0) | 19.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0.04) | 50.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0.03) | 72.62% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.01) | 17.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.2% ( -0.02) | 47.8% ( 0.02) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% ( -0.04) | 40.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.59% ( -0.03) | 77.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.03% |
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