SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.43% ( -0.11) | 23.04% ( 0.03) | 19.53% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.02) | 48.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.01) | 70.66% ( -0.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.03) | 16.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( -0.06) | 46.49% ( 0.06) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( 0.1) | 39.02% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% ( 0.1) | 75.75% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 19.53% |
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