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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 24, 2021 at 3am UK
The Home Depot Center
FD

LA Galaxy
2 - 2
Dallas

Hernandez (65' pen.), Lletget (83')
Raveloson (4'), DePuy (85'), Hernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ferreira (30'), Jara (41')
Obrian (66'), Pomykal (70'), Maurer (78'), Twumasi (90'), Bressan (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawDallas
54.38%21.82%23.79%
Both teams to score 61.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19%37.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.94%60.06%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05%13.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.58%41.42%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13%64.87%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 54.38%
    Dallas 23.79%
    Draw 21.82%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.14%
4-0 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 54.38%
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-1 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 23.79%

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