Orlando displayed they have what it takes to beat some of the better sides in the division, having defeated Philadelphia Union in their last away match, but they have been too inconsistent.
As such, we expect the hosts to get their solid start back on track with a narrow 1-0 victory, in keeping with their other results this season, yet to win by more than one goal.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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