SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
55.91% ( -0.05) | 22.85% ( 0.01) | 21.24% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( 0.04) | 45.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( 0.04) | 67.84% ( -0.04) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0) | 16.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( -0) | 45.51% ( 0) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.06) | 35.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 0.07) | 72.3% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.24% |
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