SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
53.45% ( 0.05) | 22.91% ( -0) | 23.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.05) | 43.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.05) | 65.43% ( 0.06) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0) | 16.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( -0) | 45.46% ( 0) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.07) | 31.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.09) | 68.42% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 23.64% |
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