SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
59.88% ( 0.04) | 20.85% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( 0.04) | 39.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( 0.05) | 61.55% ( -0.05) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( 0.02) | 12.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( 0.05) | 39.01% ( -0.05) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0) | 33.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( 0) | 70.55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 59.88% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.26% |
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