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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
37.93% ( -0.13) | 23.39% ( 0.01) | 38.67% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( -0.07) | 37.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( -0.07) | 60.05% ( 0.07) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -0.09) | 20.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -0.15) | 52.63% ( 0.14) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.02) | 19.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.93% ( 0.04) | 52.07% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 38.67% |
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