Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
61.93% ( -0.36) | 21.3% ( 0.17) | 16.76% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.19% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% ( -0.41) | 45.43% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% ( -0.39) | 67.76% ( 0.39) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.88% ( -0.24) | 14.12% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.25% ( -0.47) | 41.75% ( 0.47) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% ( -0) | 40.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.99% ( -0.01) | 77.01% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.76% |
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