SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Charlotte FC |
38.11% ( 0.46) | 25.87% ( 0.11) | 36.02% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.51) | 49.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.46) | 71.64% ( 0.46) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( 0.02) | 60.32% ( -0.02) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.57) | 26.66% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0.75) | 61.9% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.02% |
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