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NY
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
TF

NY City
2 - 1
Toronto

Rodriguez (24'), O'Toole (64')
Risa (42'), Parks (63'), Sands (90+5'), Haak (90+3')
Parks (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marshall-Rutty (7')
Long (23'), Bernardeschi (28'), O'Neill (71'), Insigne (90+7'), Thompson (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-1 Toronto

The Pigeons showed flashes of brilliance at home to Portland last weekend but have not convinced us they can find that killer instinct, which is why we believe an upstart Toronto side can go to the Bronx and come away with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
63.72% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.08% (0.0010000000000012 0) 15.2%
Both teams to score 48.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82%14.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13%41.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 63.7%
    Toronto 15.2%
    Draw 21.08%
New York City FCDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 7.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75%
4-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.7%
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.13%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 1-2 Portland
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Orlando City
Saturday, October 21 at 11.20pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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