SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Alfreton Town |
61.62% ( -0.46) | 21.38% ( 0.22) | 17% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( -0.49) | 45.36% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( -0.47) | 67.69% ( 0.47) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( -0.3) | 14.19% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( -0.59) | 41.9% ( 0.59) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.02) | 40.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( 0.02) | 76.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17% |
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