SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
37.19% ( 0) | 26.98% ( 0.02) | 35.84% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.07) | 54.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.05) | 75.67% ( 0.05) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.03) | 28.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( -0.04) | 63.88% ( 0.03) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -0.04) | 29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% ( -0.05) | 64.9% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.84% |
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