SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Alfreton Town |
47.93% ( -1.1) | 26.74% ( 0.68) | 25.33% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.93% ( -2.2) | 57.07% ( 2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% ( -1.78) | 77.96% ( 1.79) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( -1.44) | 23.86% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( -2.11) | 58.05% ( 2.11) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -0.84) | 38.18% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( -0.82) | 74.94% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.33% |
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