Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
