Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
