Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.96%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
