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National League North | Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street
BP

Hereford
3 - 2
Bradford Park Av

Haines (14'), Pinchard (37'), McLean (45')
McLean (46')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nowakowski (49'), Dockerty (57')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawBradford Park Avenue
60.38%22.25%17.37%
Both teams to score 49.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6%48.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46%70.54%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42%44.58%
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58%41.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07%77.93%
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 60.37%
    Bradford Park Avenue 17.37%
    Draw 22.25%
Hereford UnitedDrawBradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 12%
2-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 5.69%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 17.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-0 Hereford
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Telford
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Alfreton
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-4 Hereford
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-1 Hereford
Tuesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Guiseley
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-1 Bradford Park Av
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-2 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gateshead 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in National League North


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