Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
