Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.