SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Hereford United | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Blyth Spartans | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Chorley | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 5 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
48.48% ( 0.31) | 25.51% ( -0.1) | 26% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0.24) | 52.01% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( 0.21) | 73.75% ( -0.21) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.23) | 21.47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( 0.36) | 54.49% ( -0.36) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.04) | 34.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.04) | 71.57% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 26% |
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