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National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground

Telford
1 - 1
Southport

FT(HT: 1-0)
Woods (51')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telford 1-1 Kettering
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawSouthport
32.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 26.87% (0.0010000000000012 0) 41.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)67.93% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 32.04%
    Southport 41.08%
    Draw 26.86%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Kettering
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Telford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Telford
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-0 Chester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Telford
Monday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-1 Southport
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North


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