SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Southport |
51.54% ( 0.02) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( 0.02) | 53.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( 0.01) | 74.94% ( -0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.02) | 20.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( 0.02) | 53.35% ( -0.02) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0) | 38.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( -0) | 74.87% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.17% |
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