Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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