Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
