Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Southport had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.
