Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 80.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 6.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
