SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | AFC Telford United |
42.02% ( 1.28) | 26.43% ( -0.17) | 31.54% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0.35) | 52.86% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.52% ( 0.3) | 74.47% ( -0.3) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0.83) | 24.88% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 1.14) | 59.48% ( -1.14) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.58) | 31.08% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% ( -0.68) | 67.4% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.54% |
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