Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
