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National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 0
Leamington

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 3-1 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 12.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.52%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawLeamington FC
64.36% (0.13199999999999 0.13) 23.36% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 12.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 35.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.12% (0.127 0.13)60.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.91% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.097999999999999 0.1)18.67% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.161 0.16)50% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)56.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)88.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 64.35%
    Leamington FC 12.28%
    Draw 23.35%
Chester FCDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 17.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 14.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.29% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 64.35%
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chester 3-1 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Chester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Needham Market
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Chester
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Chester
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 4-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-2 Leamington
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 3-2 Chorley
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 3-0 Leamington
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North


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