SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.35%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Leamington FC |
69.42% ( -0.03) | 19.32% ( 0.01) | 11.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.03) | 48.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( 0.03) | 70.72% ( -0.03) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% | 12.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.74% | 39.26% |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.06) | 50.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.92% ( 0.04) | 85.08% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 2-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 69.41% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.32% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 11.26% |
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