Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%).