Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
