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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Chorley |
33.95% ( 0.18) | 28.17% ( -0.01) | 37.88% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% ( 0.05) | 58.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% ( 0.04) | 79.44% ( -0.04) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.15) | 32.56% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( 0.16) | 69.1% ( -0.16) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.08) | 30.06% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( -0.09) | 66.19% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.88% |
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