Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
