Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
