Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Curzon Ashton
70.36% ( -0.37)	18.45% ( 0.26)	11.18% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.9% (

-0.88)

45.09% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.55% (

-0.84)

67.44% (

0.84)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

-0.35)

11.59% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.44% (

-0.74)

36.56% (

0.74)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.47% (

-0.38)

48.52% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.39% (

-0.27)

83.61% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Chorley 70.34%

Curzon Ashton 11.19%

Draw 18.45%

Chorley	Draw	Curzon Ashton
2-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 70.34%	1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.45%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 11.19%