Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
