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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chorley |
23.37% ( 1.52) | 25.35% ( 0.76) | 51.28% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( -1.46) | 53.46% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( -1.25) | 74.98% ( 1.24) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( 0.65) | 37.95% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% ( 0.63) | 74.72% ( -0.63) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -1.5) | 20.86% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( -2.41) | 53.56% ( 2.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.37% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.35)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.49% Total : 51.27% |
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