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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chorley |
31.07% ( 0.74) | 25.57% ( -0.57) | 43.36% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( 2.65) | 49.45% ( -2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 2.33) | 71.49% ( -2.33) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 1.86) | 29.69% ( -1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 2.2) | 65.74% ( -2.2) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 1.07) | 22.72% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( 1.56) | 56.39% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.36% |
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