SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
59.38% ( 0.31) | 23.34% ( -0.11) | 17.28% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0.13) | 52.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( 0.11) | 74.47% ( -0.11) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.16) | 17.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52% ( 0.27) | 48% ( -0.27) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.17) | 44.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.73% ( -0.14) | 80.27% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.38% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.28% |
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