Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Telford United would win this match.