Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).
