Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
